Draw a safe bet as QPR head to Middlesbrough - betting
Friday, 21st Mar 2014 22:32 by Andy Hillman and Owen Goulding

After three winners last week the LFW pundits return to cast a glance towards Saturday's action at Middlesbrough, where they think a draw looks like a safe bet.

Andy Hillman

Another two winners last week, with QPR winning to nil vs Yeovil @ 13/10, and then a whopping 7/1 on the Away double of Liverpool and Arsenal vs Man U and Spurs respectively. I have a funny feeling that the bookies took a bit of a pounding on that double, as I know quite a few people who were on it...

NAP: Wigan vs Watford - Wigan @ 21/20

Wigan are going absolutely great guns at the moment under Uwe Rosler, this month’s choice of the LFW message board green eyed monster. Wigan have won eight of their last nine, the only aberration the crazy 3-3 draw with Yeovil last time out. Watford are simply awful on the road, having not won away from Vicarage Road since the 5th October - some 14 games ago. Wigan , at home, at better than Evens is a great price

QPR related bet - Middlesbrough vs QPR - Draw @ 11/5

QPR at Middlesbrough . Have you ever heard anything quite so spectacularly dull in your entire life? So cutting to the chase - Boro score even less goals than we do, which is impressive to say the least. We only score if Ravel Morrison feels like it, and as one of the 260 at Sheffield on Tuesday, neither he or anyone else looked like scoring if they were still playing now. Neither side actually concede that many either though, even though we’re losing quite regularly. So two teams who don’t score, and don’t concede, away trip to Northern hole, goalless draw written all over it. (7/1)

Derby vs Nottm Forest - Draw @ 12/5

The only reason that QPR are even remotely still in the playoff hunt at the moment is due to Forest and 100-point-Derby both being in as lousy form as we are. Burnley must be loving it. Forest have no wins in six, and Derby have no wins in four, and they haven’t scored in any of those four games. Throw in a local derby, and neither side wanting to lose and give points to promotion rivals, and a low scoring draw looks practically written in stone...

Premiership Shorts:

Everton vs Swansea - Everton @ 4/6 - Swansea have only won two in 15 - against Fulham and Cardiff . They have not won in seven. Everton have won their last seven in a row at home. Absolute home banker, first leg of your accumulator.

Cardiff vs Liverpool - Liverpool to be winning at HT/FT @ 11/10 Liverpool have scored more away from home than anyone else this season - 34 goals. Cardiff have failed to score in the league 16 times. Liverpool have scored more goals in the first half than Cardiff have scored in total. Liverpool have been winning at half time 20 times this season, and have gone on to win 17 of them. See where I’m going with this?

Newcastle vs Palace - Palace/Draw double chance @ 20/17 Backing Palace away from home is a dangerous game at the best of times, but Newcastle are a beatable team, and without Remy they are significantly weaker still. At the back they’re not much better either, only keeping one clean sheet in 10 at St James Park. Palace are much better at home than away, but evens on at least a draw is tempting.

Previous winners:

QPR related bet - QPR Win to Nil v Yeovil @ 13/10, 14/03/14

7/1 on the Away double of Liverpool and Arsenal vs Man U and Spurs, 14/03/14

QPR related bet: Birmingham vs QPR - QPR to win @ 6/4 02/03/14

NAP of the Week: West Brom vs Man Utd - Man U to win @ Evens 02/03/14

Safe as Houses German Double @ Evens, 02/03/14

Juve to Beat Milan @ Evens, 28/02/14

Bologna vs Roma - Roma win to nil @ 29/20, 21/02/14

Roma vs Sampdoria — Roma win to nil @ 13/10, 15/02/14

NAP of the Week - Bournemouth vs Leicester - Leicester @ 21/20, 31/01/14

QPR related bet: QPR vs Burnley - draw, BTTS @ 7/2, 31/01/14

Chelsea vs Man Utd - Chelsea win @ 5/6

Man City vs Cardiff - Man City to score at least three times @ 9/11

NAP of the week: Roma vs Livorno - Roma to win to nil @ 5/6 17/01/14

Swansea vs Tottenham - Spurs to win @ 7/5

Roma vs Genoa - Roma to Win to nil @ 13/10, 10/01/14

Fulham vs Sunderland - Sunderland win @ 13/5, 10/01/14

Short odds away double - Chelsea (vs Hull ) & Arsenal (vs Villa) to both win @ 5/2, 10/01/14

NAP of the Week: Charlton vs Derby - Derby to win @ 5/4, 13/12/13

Man City vs Arsenal - City to win @ 5/6, 13/12/13

Aston Villa vs Man Utd - Utd to win @ 4/5, 13/12/13

Man Utd vs Newcastle — Lay Man Utd @ 9/5, 07/12/13

NAP of the week: Newcastle to beat West Brom @ 20/19, 29/11/13

QPR vs Bournemouth — QPR to win to nil @ 11/8, 29/11/13

Norwich vs Palace — under 1.5 goals @ 9/4, 29/11/13

RM vs Valladoilid — Gareth Bale to score anytime @ Evens

Hamburg vs Hannover - Hamburg to win @ Evens, 22/11/13

NAP of the week: Ajaccio vs Marseille - Marseille to win at Evens, 22/11/13

NAP of the week: Wimbledon vs Coventry — Coventry to win @ 10/11 08/11/13

Reading v QPR Match drawn @ 12/5, 08/11/13

West Brom v Crystal Palace — WBA to win @ 3/5, 01/11/13

Fulham vs Man Utd — Man U to win & BTTS @ 5/2, 01/11/13

Man City vs Norwich — Aguero anytime @ 10/11, 01/11/13

QPR v Derby : HT Draw @ 5/4, 01/11/13

NAP of the Week - Crystal Palace vs Arsenal - Arsenal (-1) at Evens, 25/10/13

Aston Villa vs Everton - Everton to Win @ 13/10 25/10/13

Chelsea vs Man City - Aguero to score anytime @ 9/4 25/10/13

Arsenal vs Norwich - Arsenal to win & BTTS @ 2/1, 18/10/1

Crystal Palace vs Fulham - Fulham to win @ 15/8, 18/10/1

Everton vs Hull - Ht/FT Draw/Everton @ 10/3, 18/10/13

Charlie Austin anytime goal scorer v Millwall @ 11/8 18/10/13

QPR related bet: QPR to win to nil v Barnsley @ 33/20, 03/10/13

NAP of the Week - Forest to beat Huddersfield @ 5/6 — 02/08/13

NAP of the Week - Bordeaux vs Monaco - Monaco to win @ 6/4, 09/08/1

NAP of the week: Monaco to Beat Montpellier @ 4/7, 15/08/1

NAP of the week: Man City to win to nil @ 20/23 — 29/08/13

NAP of the week 2 - Man Utd vs Palace - Utd to win to nil @ 21/20 — 13/09/1

NAP of the week 3 - Sunderland vs Arsenal - Arsenal to win @ 8/11 — 13/09/13

QPR Related bet: QPR vs Birmingham - QPR win @ 3/5 — 13/09/13

Giroud and Sturridge to score anytime double 6/1 — 13/09/13

QPR to win at Yeovil @ 11/13 — 20/09/13

NAP of the week — Blackpool vs Leicester — BTTS @ 7/9 — 20/09/13

NAP of the Week - Liverpool to beat Sunderland @ 7/10 — 27/09/13

Roma vs Bologna - Roma win to Nil @ 7/5 — 27/09/13

The Pro

Professional odds compiler Owen Goulding tells us…

"Short and sweet from me this week. I'm getting so bored watching QPR this season, and just when you think it can't be anymore sleep inducing, we travel to a team who have failed to score in eight of their last ten games, with half of those ending in a 0-0 scoreline. I doth my cap to you hardy souls who are making the trip up north for this one, but I'm going to stay at home and pop to Ladbrokes to place a bet on no goalscorer at 7/1. I reckon my walk to the bookies will be more interesting than watching Harry, oblivious to what's going on in front if him, sitting aimlessly on the bench thinking about how he can help Rosie make the most of the new ISA regulations."

Recommended bet: Middlesbrough v QPR - recommended bet - No Goalscorer 7/1 (Ladbrokes)

Elsewhere, stick with Krystian Pearce to score at anytime for Torquay who host a stuttering Newport County who have a massive defensive injury crisis - 16/1 available at Hills/Corals/PaddyPower.

Previous Winners:

Ravel Morrison to score at anytime - 12/5 (Paddy Power) 14/03/14

Preston to Beat Walsall - 11/10 Betvictor 28/02/14

Dumbarton to win at Alloa, 11/4 08/02/14

Stoke v Liverpool - Suarez to score anytime and Liverpool to win - 7/5 Bwin, 10/01/14

Carlisle v Tranmere - Carlisle to win 6/5, 13/12/13

Swindon v Carlisle - Sean O Hanlon - 16/1 Anytime (Coral/Hills) 29/11/13

Doncaster v QPR - QPR to score Under 1.5 Goals @10/11 (Coral), 29/11/13

Cardiff or Draw @11/8 (general), 22/11/13

Reading v QPR Draw - 12/5 (Bet365/Betfred) 08/11/13

Steven Caulker to score Cardiff v Swansea 15/1 888Sport, 01/11/13

Burnley QPR HT 0-0 7/4 and Draw at HT 11/10., 25/10/13

Oldham to beat Swindon - 2/1 (BetVictor), 25/10/13

Bet of the weekend - Charlie Austin to score anytime v Barnsley Evens 03/10/13

Benteke to score at any time v Arsenal at 11/4 (Coral/Skybet), 17/08/13

Nile Ranger First Goalscorer Each Way 11/2 (Paady Power/Skybet), 28/08/13

QPR to score first v Leeds at Even money (Bwin/Betfair), 28/08/13

Joey Barton to score at any time vs Middlesbrough 4/1 (William Hill, Paddy Power, Betfred, Skybet), 27/09/13

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